So I award Buffalo 0.752 wins for Week 2. The Bills are then seven-point favorites against the Titans, a number that suggests they'll win 75.2 percent of the time. So I award 0.488 wins to Buffalo for Week 1. For example, the Rams are favored by one point against the Bills in the Week 1 opener, and that line suggests Buffalo has a 48.8 percent chance of winning the game. Here's how it works: the spreads of each game are tied to a historical probability of the team winning the game. And because the correlation isn't 1-to-1, the every-game lines create a secondary market where you can get even better value on your positions. While these, like the NFL win totals, are based upon how strong or weak the oddsmakers think each team is, the correlation isn't 1-to-1.
But what I am going to do is share a piece of my preparation each season that should affect how you're taking your positions in the market. I'm not here to change your mind (there will be plenty of time for that later, when I share my leans and likes on every team throughout the next two months at SportsLine). Whatever the case, you've likely seen the win totals posted at sportsbooks and either taken a position in the market or started planning which moves you're going to make once we get closer to the start of the season. Maybe you're optimistic that the Jets are better than people expect that's also been a popular market position, with the Over on the Jets' 5.5-win total up to -175. That seems to be a popular play, as the Falcons have moved from a line of six wins juiced to the Under to 5.5 wins with close to even odds on both sides. Maybe you've looked at the Atlanta Falcons depth chart on both sides of the ball and are convinced they're not winning more than a few games. Along the way, you probably came to some conclusions about how good or bad certain teams are in the league.
Caesars nfl win totals 2022 free#
If you're an NFL fan, you've probably been following all the free agency moves, trades, draft picks, injury reports, coachspeak and everything else that makes the offseason nearly as fun as the weekly grind in the fall.
Sign up to get daily betting columns and advice delivered directly to your inbox.2022 NFL win total lines are available for 31 of the league's 32 teams at Caesars Sportsbook, with the Cleveland Browns off the board until there's more clarity on how much Deshaun Watson will be available this season. Also, these wagers do not include victories from the postseason. For "Under" bettors, the Cardinals would have to finish 8-9 or worse for the regular season.īettors should make a note that most operators do not pay out these futures wagers until the end of the regular season when teams complete their 17-game schedule. In the above example, bettors taking the "Over" on the Arizona Cardinals would need the team to finish with at least nine victories or a record of likely 9-8 or better. Oddsmakers set a number prior to the start of a regular season for every team and bettors can wager on "Over" or "Under" for the projections. Win Totals are very popular and also very simple to understand.
Caesars nfl win totals 2022 how to#
Odds Provided by Bet365 HOW TO READ THE NFL WIN TOTALS ODDS MARKET
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